The options market is pricing an expected move of ±13.77% (±$1.33) for USAR (USA Rare Earth, Inc.) earnings on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (time not confirmed). That is the mid price of the $9.50 at-the-money straddle expiring Friday, November 6, 2026, with USAR at $9.66 as of Oct 22, 2026 3:59 PM ET (CBOE delayed data).
| Earnings date | Thursday, November 5, 2026 · Time not confirmed |
| Fiscal quarter | Sep/2026 |
| EPS forecast (consensus) | ($0.19) (3 estimates) |
| Market cap | $3.8B |
| Straddle bid / mid / ask | $1.13 / $1.33 / $1.53 |
| Quote quality | Two-sided quotes, spread ≤ 40% of mid |
| Expiration used | Friday, November 6, 2026 (15 days out; 1 days after the report) |
| 85% convention | ±11.70% (±$1.13). Some sites quote 0.85 × straddle as a one-standard-deviation estimate. |
| Snapshot | 2026-10-22 |
Expected vs actual history
Expected is the move options priced in before each report; actual is how far USAR really moved after it. The beat rate is how often the actual move was bigger.
No completed reports tracked yet. History began Wednesday, October 21, 2026 and builds as companies report; after USAR reports, its actual move and whether it beat the expected move will appear here.
Moved more than expected
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No completed USAR reports have been tracked yet (tracking began Wednesday, October 21, 2026), so there is no beat rate yet.
FAQ
What is the expected move for USAR earnings?
The options market is pricing an expected move of ±13.77% (±$1.33) for USAR (USA Rare Earth, Inc.) earnings on Thursday, November 5, 2026 (time not confirmed). That is the mid price of the $9.50 at-the-money straddle expiring Friday, November 6, 2026, with USAR at $9.66 as of Oct 22, 2026 3:59 PM ET (CBOE delayed data).
When does USAR report earnings?
USA Rare Earth, Inc. is scheduled to report on Thursday, November 5, 2026, time not confirmed, per the Nasdaq earnings calendar. Dates can change; confirm with the company's investor relations site.
What price range does the USAR expected move imply?
Using the $9.66 reference price and a ±$1.33 expected move, the implied range through Friday, November 6, 2026 is about $8.33 to $10.99. This is a market estimate, not a forecast.
How often does USAR move more than expected after earnings?
No completed USAR reports have been tracked yet (tracking began Wednesday, October 21, 2026), so there is no beat rate yet.
How is the expected move calculated?
It is the mid price (average of bid and ask) of the at-the-money call plus the at-the-money put in the first expiration that includes the post-earnings trading session, using CBOE delayed quotes. Dividing by the stock price gives the percentage.
Is this investment advice?
No. EarningsMoves publishes factual market data for information only. Quotes are delayed and may be inaccurate.